By Professor Jason Evans

Journal articles

Holgate CM; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Goswami P; Grant MO; Hobeichi S; Hoffmann D; Jiang X; Jin C; Lu X; Mu M; Page JC; Parker TJ; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Henley BJ; Kala J; King AD; Maher N; Nguyen H; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2025, 'Physical mechanisms of meteorological drought development, intensification and termination: an Australian review', Communications Earth and Environment, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02179-3

Dikshit A; Evans JP, 2025, 'Characterization of the Australia's 2019 megafires: a remote-sensing perspective', INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF REMOTE SENSING, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2025.2564909

Devanand A; Evans JP; Pitman AJ; Pal S; Gochis D; Sampson K, 2025, 'The influence of lateral flow on land surface fluxes in southeast Australia varies with model resolution', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 29, pp. 4491 - 4513, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4491-2025

Narsey S; Grose M; Delage F; Tolhurst G; Chung C; Takbash A; Boschat G; King M; Pepler A; Thatcher M; Ng B; Truong S; Su CH; Howard E; Stassen C; Black M; Jones D; Matear R; Chapman S; Syktus J; Trancoso R; Di Virgilio G; Goyal R; Kala J; Round V; Evans JP, 2025, 'Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia', Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 75, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/ES25015

Morgan-Bulled D; Bullio R; Webb T; Cooper S; Green J; Hopkins M; McInnes K; Holbrook N; Jackson G; Kirono D; Marsland S; Sheppard M; Chung C; Clubb R; Clubb T; Deshong S; Hunter C; Joseph D; Langworthy L; Neal D; Talbot L; Cavanagh-Luskin S; Canadell J; Carlisle M; Catt G; Evans J; Hooper B; Karoly D; Ramsay H; Hill R, 2025, 'Building relationships between First Nations Peoples and Western scientists to increase capacity to understand, respond and adapt to climate change', Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 75, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/ES24048

Surendran G; Sherwood S; Evans J; El Rafei M; Dowdy A; Ji F; Brown A, 2025, 'Distinguishing environmental controls on strong vs. extreme wind gusts', Weather and Climate Extremes, 49, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100788

Sharma S; Evans JP; Pitman A; Nazarian N; Lipson MJ; Lopez-Bravo C, 2025, 'Mapping urban dynamics in Greater Sydney – A scalable multi-decadal local climate zone classification approach', Plos Climate, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000677

Eccles R; Syktus J; Trancoso R; Chapman S; Wasko C; Evans JP; Thatcher M; Di Virgilio G; Stassen C, 2025, 'Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models', npj Natural Hazards, 2, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s44304-025-00107-1

Jacob PE; Choudhary N; Dikshit A; Evans JP; Pradhan B; Huete AR, 2025, 'Flash drought prediction using deep learning', Environmental Research Letters, 20, pp. 074006, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/addb65

Königseder SK; Barrows TT; Fisher JA; Evans JP; Kim Y; McColl C, 2025, 'Performance of a 179-year high-resolution climate simulation of Southern Alaska', Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 156, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-025-05612-x

Evans JP; Abram NJ, 2025, 'Editorial: Australia's Tinderbox Drought', Weather and Climate Extremes, 48, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2025.100766

Fazeli M; Nazarian N; Evans J; Gabeiras Penas J; Sharma S; Martilli A, 2025, 'Are high-resolution urban datasets necessary for accurate heat exposure modelling in cities?', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-104

Sharma S; Evans J; Pitman A, 2025, 'Understanding Urbanization’s Influence on Rainfall in Sydney Through High-Resolution Modeling and Storm Analysis', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/icuc12-1115

Wamahiu K; Kala J; Evans J, 2025, 'Assessing the influence of bias correction of boundary conditions, spectral nudging and model parameterisation on model errors and climate change signals for regional climate model simulations', Climate Dynamics, 63, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-025-07634-7

Di Virgilio G; Evans JP; Ji F; Tam E; Kala J; Andrys J; Thomas C; Choudhury D; Rocha C; White S; Li Y; El Rafei M; Goyal R; Riley ML; Lingala J, 2025, 'Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble', Geoscientific Model Development, 18, pp. 671 - 702, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-671-2025

Di Virgilio G; Ji F; Tam E; Evans JP; Kala J; Andrys J; Thomas C; Choudhury D; Rocha C; Li Y; Riley ML, 2025, 'Evaluation of CORDEX ERA5-forced NARCliM2.0 regional climate models over Australia using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.1.2', Geoscientific Model Development, 18, pp. 703 - 724, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-703-2025

zhang X; Evans J; Burrell A, 2025, 'Less than 4% of dryland areas will desertify due to climate change.  ', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1464

Liu YL; Alexander L; Evans J; Thatcher M, 2025, 'Variable-resolution global atmospheric models are sensitive to driving SST in ENSO/IOD-Australian rainfall teleconnections', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1547

Imran HM; Evans JP, 2025, 'Observational uncertainty in the added value of regional climate modelling over Australia', Climate Dynamics, 63, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07562-y

Isaza A; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Brember S, 2024, 'Impacts of 2019–20 Australian bushfires on solar photovoltaic generation using high-resolution simulations', Solar Energy, 284, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2024.113025

Zhang X; Evans JP; Burrell AL, 2024, 'Less than 4% of dryland areas are projected to desertify despite increased aridity under climate change', Communications Earth and Environment, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01463-y

Dikshit A; Evans JP, 2024, 'Quantifying vegetation recovery after fire considering post-fire rainfall', Environmental Research Communications, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad9dbd

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2024, 'Correcting Multivariate Biases in Regional Climate Model Boundaries: How Are Synoptic Systems Impacted Over the Australian Region?', Geophysical Research Letters, 51, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL111445

Langendijk GS; Halenka T; Hoffmann P; Adinolfi M; Aldama Campino A; Asselin O; Bastin S; Bechtel B; Belda M; Bushenkova A; Campanale A; Chun KP; Constantinidou K; Coppola E; Demuzere M; Doan QV; Evans J; Feldmann H; Fernandez J; Fita L; Hadjinicolaou P; Hamdi R; Hundhausen M; Grawe D; Johannsen F; Milovac J; Katragkou E; Kerroumi NEI; Kotlarski S; Le Roy B; Lemonsu A; Lennard C; Lipson M; Mandal S; Muñoz Pabón LE; Pavlidis V; Pietikäinen JP; Raffa M; Raluy-López E; Rechid D; Rui I; Schulz JP; Soares PMM; Takane Y; Teichmann C; Thatcher M; Top S; Van Schaeybroeck B; Wang F; Yuan J, 2024, 'Towards better understanding the urban environment and its interactions with regional climate change - The WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study URB-RCC', Urban Climate, 58, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2024.102165

Liu YL; Alexander LV; Evans JP; Thatcher M, 2024, 'Sensitivity of Australian Rainfall to Driving SST Data Sets in a Variable-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model', Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024JD040954

Evans JP; Belmadani A; Menkes C; Stephenson T; Thatcher M; Gibson PB; Peltier A, 2024, 'Higher-resolution projections needed for small island climates', Nature Climate Change, 14, pp. 668 - 670, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02028-9

Evans JP; Imran HM, 2024, 'The observation range adjusted method: a novel approach to accounting for observation uncertainty in model evaluation', Environmental Research Communications, 6, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ad5ad8

Taschetto AS; Stojanovic M; Holgate CM; Drumond A; Evans JP; Gimeno L; Nieto R, 2024, 'Changes in moisture sources contributed to the onset and development of the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, pp. 100672, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100672

Ji F; Di Virgilio G; Nishant N; Tam E; Evans JP; Kala J; Andrys J; Thomas C; Riley ML, 2024, 'Evaluation of precipitation extremes in ERA5 reanalysis driven regional climate simulations over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100676

Wasko C; Westra S; Nathan R; Pepler A; Raupach TH; Dowdy A; Johnson F; Ho M; McInnes KL; Jakob D; Evans J; Villarini G; Fowler HJ, 2024, 'A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28, pp. 1251 - 1285, http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024

Devanand A; Falster GM; Gillett ZE; Hobeichi S; Holgate CM; Jin C; Mu M; Parker T; Rifai SW; Rome KS; Stojanovic M; Vogel E; Abram NJ; Abramowitz G; Coats S; Evans JP; Gallant AJE; Pitman AJ; Power SB; Rauniyar SP; Taschetto AS; Ukkola AM, 2024, 'Australia’s Tinderbox Drought: An extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change', Science Advances, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adj3460

Isphording RN; Alexander LV; Bador M; Green D; Evans JP; Wales S, 2024, 'A Standardized Benchmarking Framework to Assess Downscaled Precipitation Simulations', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 1089 - 1110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0317.1

Poddar S; Evans J; Prasad A; Kay M; Rougieux F; Bremner S, 2024, 'Accelerated degradation of photovoltaic modules under a future warmer climate', Progress in Photovoltaics: research and applications, 32, pp. 456 - 467, http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pip.3788

Wamahiu K; Kala J; Evans JP, 2024, 'The influence of bias correction of global climate models prior to dynamical downscaling on projections of changes in climate: a case study over the CORDEX-Australasia domain', Climate Dynamics, 62, pp. 1219 - 1231, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06949-7

Poddar S; Evans JP; Kay M; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Assessing Australia’s future solar power ramps with climate projections', Scientific Reports, 13, pp. 11503, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-38566-z

Poddar S; Kay M; Prasad A; Evans JP; Bremner S, 2023, 'Changes in solar resource intermittency and reliability under Australia's future warmer climate', Solar Energy, 266, pp. 112039, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.112039

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Maximizing photovoltaic potential and minimizing costs in a future warmer climate: The role of atmospheric aerosols and greenhouse gas emissions', Renewable Energy, 219, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2023.119561

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Can Sub-Daily Multivariate Bias Correction of Regional Climate Model Boundary Conditions Improve Simulation of the Diurnal Precipitation Cycle?', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104442

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'A software for correcting systematic biases in RCM input boundary conditions', Environmental Modelling and Software, 168, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105799

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Multivariate bias correction of regional climate model boundary conditions', Climate Dynamics, 61, pp. 3253 - 3269, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06718-6

Kim Y; Evans JP; Sharma A, 2023, 'Correcting biases in regional climate model boundary variables for improved simulation of high-impact compound events', Iscience, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.107696

Devanand A; Evans JP; Abramowitz G; Hobeichi S; Pitman AJ, 2023, 'What is the probability that a drought will break in Australia?', Weather and Climate Extremes, 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2023.100598

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A; Ji F, 2023, 'Biases in Estimating Long-Term Recurrence Intervals of Extreme Events Due To Regionalized Sampling', Geophysical Research Letters, 50, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105286

Isaza A; Kay M; Evans JP; Prasad A; Bremner S, 2023, 'Air quality impacts on rooftop photovoltaic energy production during the 2019–2020 Australian bushfires season', Solar Energy, 257, pp. 240 - 248, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2023.04.014

Koenigseder S; Barrows T; Fisher J; Evans J; MacColl C, 2023, 'Performance evaluation of 20CRv3 downscaling using WRF over southern Alaska with focus on temperature and precipitation in glaciated areas', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-10585

Taschetto AS; Stojanovic M; Holgate C; Drumond A; Evans J; Gimeno L; Nieto R, 2023, 'Reduced moisture sources contributed to the 2017-2019 southeast Australian drought', , http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-4681

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans J; Dowdy A, 2023, 'Analysis and characterisation of extreme wind gust hazards in New South Wales, Australia', Natural Hazards, 117, pp. 875 - 895, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11069-023-05887-1

Grose MR; Narsey S; Trancoso R; Mackallah C; Delage F; Dowdy A; Di Virgilio G; Watterson I; Dobrohotoff P; Rashid HA; Rauniyar S; Henley B; Thatcher M; Syktus J; Abramowitz G; Evans JP; Su CH; Takbash A, 2023, 'A CMIP6-based multi-model downscaling ensemble to underpin climate change services in Australia', Climate Services, 30, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100368

Ayat H; Evans JP; Sherwood SC; Soderholm J, 2023, 'An object-based climatology of precipitation systems in Sydney, Australia', Climate Dynamics, 60, pp. 1669 - 1688, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06404-z

El Rafei M; Sherwood S; Evans JP; Ji F, 2023, 'Analysis of extreme wind gusts using a high-resolution Australian Regional Reanalysis', Weather and Climate Extremes, 39, pp. 100537, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2022.100537

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