Select Publications
Preprints
, 2015, Managing Systematic Mortality Risk in Life Annuities: An Application of Longevity Derivatives, http://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.1508.00090
, A Group Regularisation Approach for Constructing Generalised Age-Period-Cohort Mortality Projection Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3790991
, A Managed Volatility Investment Strategy for Pooled Annuity Products, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3455806
, A Multi-State Model of Functional Disability and Health Status in the Presence of Systematic Trend and Uncertainty, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3445761
, A Multivariate Forward-Rate Mortality Framework, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2539434
, A Multivariate Tweedie Lifetime Model: Censoring and Truncation, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2550507
, A Value Based Cohort Index for Longevity Risk Management, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2569507
, Affine Mortality Models with Jumps: Parameter Estimation and Forecasting, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4220454
, affine_mortality: A Github repository for estimation, analysis, and projection of affine mortality models, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3912983
, Age Patterns and Trends in Mortality by Cause of Death and Implications for Modeling Longevity Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1694272
, Age-Dependent Multi-Cohort Affine Mortality Model with Cohort Correlation, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4456316
, An Analysis of Reinsurance Optimisation in Life Insurance, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2029314
, Data Analytics in Actuarial Education and Research, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2701855
, Developing Equity Release Markets: Risk Analysis for Reverse Mortgages and Home Reversions, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2198619
, Disaggregated House Price Indices, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2237783
, Economic Scenario Generation with Regime Switching Models, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1446596
, Equity Investing with Targeted Constant Volatility Exposure, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2614828
, Estimating Transition Probabilities Using Repeated Cross-sectional Data, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4800795
, Financial Engineering: A Flexible Longevity Bond to Manage Individual Longevity Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3580488
, Financial Innovation for an Aging World, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.921041
, Forecasting Mortality Trends Allowing for Cause-of-Death Mortality Dependence, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2202608
, Functional Disability with Systematic Trends and Uncertainty: A Comparison between China and the U.S., http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3785743
, Heterogeneity of Australian Population Mortality and Implications for a Viable Life Annuity Market, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1779442
, Immunization and Hedging of Longevity Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2596989
, Improving Longevity and Mortality Risk Models with Common Stochastic Long-Run Trends, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1702029
, Insuring Longevity Risk and Long-Term Care: Bequest, Housing and Liquidity, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4057404
, Integrating Financial and Demographic Longevity Risk Models: An Australian Model for Financial Applications, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1139724
, International Cause-Specific Mortality Rates: New Insights from a Cointegration Analysis, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2571324
, Lifetime Asset Allocation with Idiosyncratic and Systematic Mortality Risks, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2428006
, Lifetime Dependence Modelling Using the Truncated Multivariate Gamma Distribution, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2033454
, Living with Ambiguity: Pricing Mortality-Linked Securities with Smooth Ambiguity Preferences, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2007342
, Longevity Risk and the Econometric Analysis of Mortality Trends and Volatility, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1458084
, Longevity Risk, Cost of Capital and Hedging for Life Insurers Under Solvency II, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2331660
, Longevity Risks and Capital Markets: The 2010-2011 Update, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1964636
, Managing Life Insurer Risk and Profitability: Annuity Market Development Using Natural Hedging Strategies, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2206022
, Managing Retirement Risks with Reverse Mortgage Loans and Long-Term Care Insurance, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2707350
, Managing Systematic Mortality Risk with Group Self Pooling and Annuitisation Schemes, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1791162
, Market Price of Longevity Risk for a Multi-Cohort Mortality Model with Application to Longevity Bond Option Pricing, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3121520
, Model Risk, Mortality Heterogeneity and Implications for Solvency and Tail Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2258814
, Model Risk, Mortality Heterogeneity, and Implications for Solvency and Tail Risk, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2337159
, Modeling Long-Run Cause of Death Mortality Trends, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1705696
, Modeling Mortality with a Bayesian Vector Autoregression, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1776532
, Modelling Cause-of-Death Mortality and the Impact of Cause-Elimination, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2233693
, Mortality Forecasting Using Stacked Regression Ensembles, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3823511
, Mortality Heterogeneity and Systematic Mortality Improvement, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2701650
, Multi-factor, Age-Cohort, Affine Mortality Models: A Multi-Country Comparison, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3912981
, Multi-State Actuarial Models of Functional Disability, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2261013
, Multivariate Tweedie Lifetimes: The Impact of Dependence, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2246526
, On Sustainable Aged Care Financing in Australia, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3870864
, Pooling Functional Disability and Mortality in Long-Term Care Insurance and Care Annuities: A Matrix Approach for Multi-State Pools, http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4479051