By Dr David John Muscatello

Journal articles

Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Wang Q; Yang P; Wu J; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Overview of influenza vaccination policy in Beijing, China: Current status and future prospects', Journal of Public Health Policy, 38, pp. 366 - 379, http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41271-017-0079-7

Rosewell A; Makita L; Muscatello D; John LN; Bieb S; Hutton R; Ramamurthy S; Shearman P, 2017, 'Health information system strengthening and malaria elimination in Papua New Guinea', Malaria Journal, 16, pp. 278, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12936-017-1910-0

Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Heywood A; Gardner LJ; Heslop DJ; Macintyre CR, 2017, 'Translating real-time infectious disease modeling into routine public health practice', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 23, pp. e1 - e6, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2305.161720

Zhang Y; Wu P; Feng L; Yang P; Pan Y; Feng S; Qin Y; Zheng J; Puig-Barberà J; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Cowling BJ; Yu H; Wang Q, 2017, 'Influenza vaccine effectiveness against influenza-associated hospitalization in 2015/16 season, Beijing, China.', Vaccine, 35, pp. 3129 - 3134, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.03.084

Bein KJ; Berendsen Russell S; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Feeling the HEAT: Using Hourly Emergency Activity Tracking to demonstrate a novel method of describing activity and patient flow', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 29, pp. 173 - 177, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12712

Moa AM; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2017, 'Epidemiology of influenza B in Australia: 2001-2014 influenza seasons', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 11, pp. 102 - 109, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12432

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Vallmuur K; Muscatello D; Chalkley D; Ivers R, 2017, 'Age-related trends in injury and injury severity presenting to emergency departments in New South Wales Australia: Implications for major injury surveillance and trauma systems', Injury, 48, pp. 171 - 176, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.injury.2016.08.005

Muscatello DJ; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2017, 'Emergency Department demand associated with seasonal influenza, 2010 through 2014, New South Wales, Australia', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response, 8, pp. 11 - 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2017.8.2.002

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Rogers K; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Hayman J; Chalkley DR; Ivers R, 2016, 'The Sydney Triage to Admission Risk Tool (START) to predict Emergency Department Disposition: A derivation and internal validation study using retrospective state-wide data from New South Wales, Australia', BMC Emergency Medicine, 16, pp. 46, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12873-016-0111-4

Dinh MM; Muecke S; Berendsen Russell S; Chalkley D; Bein KJ; Muscatello D; Nagaraj G; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Demand for Emergency Services Trends in New South Wales Years 2010–2014 (DESTINY): Age and Clinical Factors Associated with Ambulance Transportation to Emergency Departments', Prehospital Emergency Care, 20, pp. 776 - 782, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10903127.2016.1182603

Sullivan SG; Franklin LJ; Raupach J; Pennington K; Bareja C; de Kluyver R; National Influenza Surveillance Committee (inc. DJ Muscatello) , 2016, 'A brief overview of influenza surveillance systems in Australia, 2015', Communicable Diseases Intelligence, 40, pp. E347 - E351, http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/cda-cdi4003f.htm

Moa AM; Chughtai AA; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre CR, 2016, 'Immunogenicity and safety of inactivated quadrivalent influenza vaccine in adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials', Vaccine, 34, pp. 4092 - 4102, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.06.064

Norton S; Cordery DV; Abbenbroek BJ; Ryan AC; Muscatello DJ, 2016, 'Towards public health surveillance of intensive care services in NSW, Australia', Public Health Research and Practice, 26, http://dx.doi.org/10.17061/phrp2631633

Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Trends and characteristics of short-term and frequent representations to emergency departments: A population-based study from New South Wales, Australia', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 28, pp. 307 - 312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12582

Dinh MM; Berendsen Russell S; Bein KJ; Chalkley D; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Understanding drivers of Demand for Emergency Service Trends in Years 2010-2014 in New South Wales: An initial overview of the DESTINY project', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 28, pp. 179 - 186, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12542

Whitlam G; Dinh M; Rodgers C; Muscatello DJ; McGuire R; Ryan T; Thackway S, 2016, 'Diagnosis-based emergency department alcohol harm surveillance: What can it tell us about acute alcohol harms at the population level?', Drug and Alcohol Review, pp. n/a - n/a, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/dar.12458

Dinh MM; Russell SB; Bein KJ; Chalkley DR; Muscatello D; Paoloni R; Ivers R, 2016, 'Statewide retrospective study of low acuity emergency presentations in New South Wales, Australia: Who, what, where and why?', BMJ Open, 6, pp. e010964, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010964

Gale M; Muscatello DJ; Dinh M; Byrnes J; Shakeshaft A; Hayen A; MacIntyre CR; Haber P; Cretikos M; Morton P, 2015, 'Alcopops, taxation and harm: A segmented time series analysis of emergency department presentations', BMC Public Health, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-015-1769-3

Leung K; Ringland C; Salmon A; Chessman J; Muscatello D, 2015, 'That’s entertainment: Trends in late-night assaults and acute alcohol illness in Sydney's Entertainment Precinct', Crime and Justice Bulletin, http://www.bocsar.nsw.gov.au/Pages/bocsar_news/cjb185-Trends-in-late-night-assaults.aspx

Dinh MM; Bein KJ; Latt M; Chalkley D; Muscatello D, 2015, 'Age before acuity: The drivers of demand for emergency department services in the Greater Sydney Area', Emergency Medicine Journal, 32, pp. 708 - 711, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/emermed-2014-204174

Koopman B; Karimi S; Nguyen A; McGuire R; Muscatello D; Kemp M; Truran D; Zhang M; Thackway S, 2015, 'Automatic classification of diseases from free-text death certificates for real-time surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 15, pp. 53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12911-015-0174-2

Davey HM; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Snelling TL; Ferson MJ; Macartney KK, 2015, 'Impact of high coverage of monovalent human rotavirus vaccine on Emergency Department presentations for rotavirus gastroenteritis', Vaccine, 33, pp. 1726 - 1730, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2015.01.082

Liljeqvist HTG; Muscatello D; Sara G; Dinh M; Lawrence GL, 2014, 'Accuracy of automatic syndromic classification of coded emergency department diagnoses in identifying mental health-related presentations for public health surveillance', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 14, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-14-84

Muscatello DJ; Amin J; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Rawlinson WD; Sintchenko V; Gilmour R; Thackway S, 2014, 'Inaccurate ascertainment of morbidity and mortality due to influenza in administrative databases: A population-based record linkage study', Plos One, 9, pp. e98446, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098446

Leonard C; Bein KJ; Latt M; Muscatello D; Veillard AS; Dinh MM, 2014, 'Demand for emergency department services in the elderly: An 11 year analysis of the Greater Sydney Area', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 26, pp. 356 - 360, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12250

Simonsen L; Spreeuwenberg P; Lustig R; Taylor RJ; Fleming DM; Kroneman M; Van Kerkhove MD; Mounts AW; Paget WJ; Echenique H; Savy V; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Dwyer DE; Azziz-Baumgartner E; Homaira N; Moura FEA; Schuck C; Akwar H; Schanzer D; Fuentes R; Olea A; Sotomayor V; Feng L; Yu H; Mazick A; Mølbak K; Nielsen J; Carrat F; Lemaitre M; Buchholz U; Schweiger B; Höhle M; Vesenbeckh S; Cowling B; Leung G; Tsang T; Chuang SK; Bromberg M; Kaufman Z; Sugaya N; Oka Ezoe K; Hayashi S; Matsuda M; Lopez-Gatell H; Alpuche-Aranda C; Noyola D; Chowell G; van Asten L; Meijer A; van den Wijngaard K; van der Sande M; Baker M; Zhang J; Benavides JG; Munayco C; Laguna-Torres A; Rabczenko D; Wojtyniak B; Park SH; Lee YK; Zolotusca L; Popovici O; Popescu R; Ang LW; Cutter J; Lin R; Ma S; Chen M; Lee VJ; Prosenc K; Socan M; Cohen C; Larrauri A; de Mateo S; Méndez LS; Sanz CD; Andrews N; Green HK; Pebody R; Saei A; Shay D; Viboud C, 2013, 'Global Mortality Estimates for the 2009 Influenza Pandemic from the GLaMOR Project: A Modeling Study', Plos Medicine, 10, pp. e1001558, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001558

Muscatello DJ; Newall AT; Dwyer DE; MacIntyre CR, 2013, 'Mortality Attributable to Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza, Australia, 2003 to 2009, Using a Novel Time Series Smoothing Approach', PLoS ONE, 8, pp. e64734 - e64734, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064734

Mitchell RJ; Bambach M; Muscatello D; McKenzie K; Balogh ZJ, 2013, 'Can SNOMED CT as implemented in New South Wales, Australia be used for road trauma injury surveillance in emergency departments?', Health Information Management Journal, 42, pp. 4 - 8, http://search.informit.com.au/documentSummary;dn=353339589984122;res=IELHEA

Cashmore AW; Muscatello DJ; Merrifield A; Spokes P; Macartney K; Jalaludin BB, 2013, 'Relationship between the population incidence of pertussis in children in New South Wales, Australia and emergency department visits with cough: a time series analysis', BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, 13, pp. 1 - 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-13-40

Schaffer A; Muscatello D; Cretikos M; Gilmour R; Tobin S; Ward J, 2012, 'The impact of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 compared with seasonal influenza on intensive care admissions in New South Wales, Australia, 2007 to 2010: A time series analysis', BMC Public Health, 12, pp. 869, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-12-869

Schaffer A; Muscatello D; Broome R; Corbett S; Smith W, 2012, 'Emergency department visits, ambulance calls, and mortality associated with an exceptional heat wave in Sydney, Australia, 2011: A time-series analysis', Environmental Health A Global Access Science Source, 11, pp. 3, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1476-069X-11-3

Chen H-Y; Jan S; Boufous S; Martiniuk A; Ivers R; Senserrick T; Norton R; Muscatello D, 2012, 'Variations in car crash-related hospitalization costs amongst young adults in New South Wales, Australia', Injury : International Journal of the Care of the Injured, 43, pp. 1593 - 1599, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020138311002531

Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2011, 'Optimal exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) plans for detecting seasonal epidemics when faced with non-homogeneous negative binomial counts', Journal of Applied Statistics, 38, pp. 2165 - 2181, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2010.545184

Thomas SL; Muscatello DJ; Middleton PM; Zheng W, 2011, 'Characteristics of fall-related injuries attended by an ambulance in Sydney, Australia: a surveillance summary.', New South Wales Public Health Bulletin, 22, pp. 49 - 54, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb09034

Hayden TJ; Muscatello DJ, 2011, 'Increased presentations to emergency departments for asthma associated with rye grass pollen season in inland NSW.', New South Wales Public Health Bulletin, 22, pp. 154 - 158, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb10035

Muscatello D; Barr M; Thackway S; MacIntyre CR, 2011, 'Epidemiology of influenza-like illness during pandemic (H1N1) 2009, New South Wales, Australia', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 17, pp. 1240 - 1247, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1707.101173

Polkinghorne B; Muscatello D; MacIntyre CR; Lawrence GL; Middleton PM; Torvaldsen S, 2011, 'Relationship between the population incidence of febrile convulsions in young children in Sydney, Australia and seasonal epidemics of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus, 2003-2010: a time series analysis', BMC Infectious Diseases, 11, pp. 1 - 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-11-291

Descallar J; Muscatello D; Weatherburn D; Chu M; Moffatt S, 2011, 'The association between the incidence of emergency department attendances for alcohol problems and assault incidents attended by police in New South Wales, Australia, 2003-2008: a time series analysis', Addiction, 107, pp. 549 - 556, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03623.x

Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2010, 'Early warning CUSUM plans for surveillance of negative binomial daily disease counts', Journal of Applied Statistics, 37, pp. 1911 - 1929, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664760903186056

O'Toole L; Muscatello DJ; Zheng W; Churches T, 2010, 'Can near real-time monitoring of emergency department diagnoses facilitate early response to sporadic meningococcal infection? - prospective and retrospective evaluations', BMC Infectious Diseases, 10, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2334-10-309

Sparks R; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2010, 'Exponentially weighted moving average plans for detecting unusual negative binomial counts', IIE Transactions Institute of Industrial Engineers, 42, pp. 721 - 733, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07408170903468597

Churches T; Conaty SJ; Gilmour RE; Muscatello DJ, 2010, 'Reflections on public health surveillance of pandemic (H1N1) 2009 influenza in NSW.', New South Wales Public Health Bulletin, 21, pp. 19 - 25, http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/nb09046

Earnest A; Beard JR; Morgan G; Lincoln D; Summerhayes R; Donoghue D; Dunn T; Muscatello D; Mengersen K, 2010, 'Small area estimation of sparse disease counts using shared component models-application to birth defect registry data in New South Wales, Australia', Health and Place, 16, pp. 684 - 693, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.healthplace.2010.02.006

Muscatello D; Cretikos M; MacIntyre CR, 2010, 'All-cause mortality during first wave of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, New South Wales, Australia, 2009', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 16, pp. 1 - 7, http://www.cdc.gov/EID/content/16/9/1396.htm

Carter CK; Sparks R; Graham P; Muscatello D; Churches T; Kaldor J; Turner R; Zheng W; Ryan L, 2010, 'Understanding sources of variation in syndromic surveillance for early warning of natural or intentional disease outbreaks', IIE Transactions, 42, pp. 613 - 631, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07408170902942667

Thackway S; Churches T; Fizzell J; Muscatello D; Armstrong P, 2009, 'Should cities hosting mass gatherings invest in public health surveillance and planning? Reflections from a decade of mass gatherings in Sydney, Australia', BMC Public Health, 9, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-9-324

Cretikos MA; Muscatello DJ; Patterson J; Conaty S; Churches T; Fizzell J; Chant KG; McAnulty JM; Thackway S, 2009, 'Progression and impact of the first winter wave of the 2009 pandemic H1N1 influenza in New South Wales, Australia.', Eurosurveillance, 14, pp. 28 - 36

Sparks RS; Keighley T; Muscatello D, 2009, 'Improving EWMA Plans for Detecting Unusual Increases in Poisson Counts', Journal of Applied Mathematics and Decision Sciences, 2009, pp. 1 - 16, http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2009/512356

Carlson SJ; Dalton CB; Tuyl FA; Durrheim DN; Fejsa J; Muscatello DJ; Francis JL; d'Espaignet ET, 2009, 'Flutracking surveillance: comparing 2007 New South Wales results with laboratory confirmed influenza notifications.', Communicable Diseases Intelligence, 33, pp. 323 - 327

Muscatello DJ; Thackway SV; Belshaw DA; McGrath D, 2009, 'What can public health surveillance of emergency department presentations for acute alcohol problems tell us about social trends in drinking behaviour?', Medical Journal of Australia, 191, pp. 237 - 238, http://dx.doi.org/10.5694/j.1326-5377.2009.tb02768.x

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