By Associate Professor Alex Sen Gupta

Book Chapters

Feng M; Lengaigne M; Manneela S; Gupta AS; Vialard J, 2024, 'Extreme events in the Indian Ocean: Marine heatwaves, cyclones, and tsunamis', in Indian Ocean and Its Role in the Global Climate System, Elsevier, pp. 121 - 144, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-822698-8.00011-1

Feng M; Lengaigne M; Manneela S; Gupta AS; Vialard J, 2024, 'Chapter 6 Extreme events in the Indian Ocean: Marine heatwaves, cyclones, and tsunamis⊛ ⊛ This book has a companion website hosting complementary materials. Visit this URL to access it: https://www.elsevier.com/books-and-journals/book-companion/9780128226988.', in The Indian Ocean and its Role in the Global Climate System, Elsevier, pp. 121 - 144, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-822698-8.00011-1

Sen Gupta A; Lough J; Power S; Grose M; Mcgree S, 2015, 'Observed and projected changes in surface climate of tropical Pacific islands', in Taylor M; McGregor A; Dawson B (ed.), Vulnerability of Pacific Island Agriculture and Forestry to Climate Change

Gupta AS; McNeil B, 2012, 'Chapter 6 Variability and Change in the Ocean', in The Future of the World's Climate, Elsevier, pp. 141 - 165, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-386917-3.00006-3

Brown J; Coleman R; Irving D; Katzfey J; Perkins J; Sen Gupta AR, 2011, 'Climate Models reliability', in Climate Change in the Pacific, Volume 1

Murphy BF; Sen Gupta AR; McGee S, 2011, 'Climate of the Western Tropical Pacific and East Timor', in Climate Change in the Pacific, Volume 1

Sen Gupta AR; Rischbieth J; Collins D; Murphy B; McGee S; Brown J; Church J; Lenton A; Clarke A, 2011, 'Country reports', in Climate Change in the Pacific: Country reports, Pacific Climate Change Science Program

Ganachaud A; Sen Gupta AR; Orrell J; Wijffels S; Ridgway K; Hermer M; Maes C; Steinberg C; Tribollet A; Qiu B; Kruger J, 2011, 'Observed and expected changes to the Pacific Ocean', in Bell JD; Johnson JE; Hobday AJ (ed.), Vulnerability of Tropical Pacific Fisheries and Aquaculture to Climate Change, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, New Caledonia, pp. 101 - 188, http://cdn.spc.int/climate-change/fisheries/assessment/chapters/0-Front-matter.pdf

Collins D; Power SB; Sen Gupta AR, 2011, 'Observed Climate Variability and Trends', in Climate Change in the Pacific, Volume 1

Hennessy K; Perkins S; Murphy BF; Sen Gupta AR; Abbs D; Church J; Tilbrook B; Katzfey J; Arthur C, 2011, 'Projections Based on Global Climate Models', in Climate Change in the Pacific, Volume 1

Bell J; Adam T; Johnson J; Alistair hobday A; Sen Gupta AR, 2011, 'The Pacific Community, fisheries, aquaculture and climate change: an introduction.', in Bell JD; Johnson JE; Hobday AJ (ed.), Vulnerability of Tropical Pacific Fisheries and Aquaculture to Climate Change, Secretariat of the Pacific Community, New Caledonia, pp. 1 - 48, http://cdn.spc.int/climate-change/fisheries/assessment/chapters/0-Front-matter.pdf

Sen Gupta AR; McNeil BI, 2011, 'Variability and Change in the Ocean', in Henderson Sellers A; McGuffie K (ed.), The Future of the World's Climate, Elsevier Science, http://store.elsevier.com/The-Future-of-the-Worlds-Climate/isbn-9780123869173/

Journal articles

Spillman CM; Hobday AJ; Behrens E; Feng M; Capotondi A; Cravatte S; Holbrook NJ; Gupta AS, 2025, 'What makes a marine heatwave forecast useable, useful and used?', Progress in Oceanography, 234, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2025.103464

Smith KE; Sen Gupta A; Burrows MT; Filbee-Dexter K; Hobday AJ; Holbrook NJ; Malan N; Moore PJ; Oliver ECJ; Thomsen MS; Wernberg T; Zhao Z; Smale DA, 2025, 'Ocean extremes as a stress test for marine ecosystems and society', Nature Climate Change, 15, pp. 231 - 235, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02269-2

Smith KE; Sen Gupta A; Amaya D; Benthuysen JA; Burrows MT; Capotondi A; Filbee-Dexter K; Frölicher TL; Hobday AJ; Holbrook NJ; Malan N; Moore PJ; Oliver ECJ; Richaud B; Salcedo-Castro J; Smale DA; Thomsen M; Wernberg T, 2025, 'Baseline matters: Challenges and implications of different marine heatwave baselines', Progress in Oceanography, 231, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2024.103404

England MH; Li Z; Huguenin MF; Kiss AE; Sen Gupta A; Holmes RM; Rahmstorf S, 2025, 'Drivers of the extreme North Atlantic marine heatwave during 2023', Nature, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-08903-5

Capotondi A; Rodrigues RR; Sen Gupta A; Benthuysen JA; Deser C; Frölicher TL; Lovenduski NS; Amaya DJ; Le Grix N; Xu T; Hermes J; Holbrook NJ; Martinez-Villalobos C; Masina S; Roxy MK; Schaeffer A; Schlegel RW; Smith KE; Wang C, 2024, 'A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate', Communications Earth and Environment, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01806-9

Capotondi A; Rodrigues RR; Sen Gupta A; Benthuysen JA; Deser C; Frölicher TL; Lovenduski NS; Amaya DJ; Le Grix N; Xu T; Hermes J; Holbrook NJ; Martinez-Villalobos C; Masina S; Roxy MK; Schaeffer A; Schlegel RW; Smith KE; Wang C, 2024, 'Correction to: A global overview of marine heatwaves in a changing climate (Communications Earth & Environment, (2024), 5, 1, (701), 10.1038/s43247-024-01806-9)', Communications Earth and Environment, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01952-0

Smith KE; Aubin M; Burrows MT; Filbee-Dexter K; Hobday AJ; Holbrook NJ; King NG; Moore PJ; Sen Gupta A; Thomsen M; Wernberg T; Wilson E; Smale DA, 2024, 'Global impacts of marine heatwaves on coastal foundation species', Nature Communications, 15, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-49307-9

Radfar S; Foroumandi E; Moftakhari H; Moradkhani H; Foltz GR; Sen Gupta A, 2024, 'Global Predictability of Marine Heatwave Induced Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones', Earth S Future, 12, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004935

Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Sen Gupta A; Taschetto AS; Richardson D; Rampal N; Ayat H; Alexander LV; Pitman AJ, 2024, 'How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability?', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00853-5

Escalle L; Scutt Phillips J; Lopez J; Lynch JM; Murua H; Royer SJ; Swimmer Y; Murua J; Sen Gupta A; Restrepo V; Moreno G, 2024, 'Simulating drifting fish aggregating device trajectories to identify potential interactions with endangered sea turtles', Conservation Biology, 38, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/cobi.14295

Eabry MD; Goyal R; Taschetto AS; Hobbs W; Gupta AS, 2024, 'Combined Impacts of Southern Annular Mode and Zonal Wave 3 on Antarctic Sea Ice Variability', Journal of Climate, 37, pp. 1759 - 1775, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0516.1

McKenna S; Santoso A; Sen Gupta A; Taschetto AS, 2024, 'Understanding Biases in Indian Ocean Seasonal SST in CMIP6 Models', Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans, 129, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020330

Scutt Phillips J; Lehodey J; Senina I; Barker R; Peatman T; Schofield M; Sen Gupta A; van Sebille E; Nicol S, 2024, 'Optimising the design and analysis of capture-mark-recapture experiments using individual-based models', Frontiers in Marine Science, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2024.1497812

Schaeffer A; Sen Gupta A; Roughan M, 2023, 'Seasonal stratification and complex local dynamics control the sub-surface structure of marine heatwaves in Eastern Australian coastal waters', Communications Earth and Environment, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00966-4

Dutta D; Jucker M; Sherwood SC; Meissner KJ; Sen Gupta A; Zhu J, 2023, 'Early Eocene low orography and high methane enhance Arctic warming via polar stratospheric clouds', Nature Geoscience, 16, pp. 1027 - 1032, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01298-w

Bell JD; Senina I; Adams T; Aumont O; Calmettes B; Clark S; Dessert M; Gehlen M; Gorgues T; Hampton J; Hanich Q; Harden-Davies H; Hare SR; Holmes G; Lehodey P; Lengaigne M; Mansfield W; Menkes C; Nicol S; Ota Y; Pasisi C; Pilling G; Reid C; Ronneberg E; Gupta AS; Seto KL; Smith N; Taei S; Tsamenyi M; Williams P, 2023, 'Author Correction: Pathways to sustaining tuna-dependent Pacific Island economies during climate change (Nature Sustainability, (2021), 4, 10, (900-910), 10.1038/s41893-021-00745-z)', Nature Sustainability, 6, pp. 1288, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01171-z

Fragkopoulou E; Sen Gupta A; Costello MJ; Wernberg T; Araújo MB; Serrão EA; De Clerck O; Assis J, 2023, 'Marine biodiversity exposed to prolonged and intense subsurface heatwaves', Nature Climate Change, 13, pp. 1114 - 1121, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01790-6

Hobday AJ; Burrows MT; Filbee-Dexter K; Holbrook NJ; Sen Gupta A; Smale DA; Smith KE; Thomsen MS; Wernberg T, 2023, 'With the arrival of El Niño, prepare for stronger marine heatwaves', Nature, 621, pp. 38 - 41, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-02730-2

Schoeman DS; Gupta AS; Harrison CS; Everett JD; Brito-Morales I; Hannah L; Bopp L; Roehrdanz PR; Richardson AJ, 2023, 'Demystifying global climate models for use in the life sciences', Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 38, pp. 843 - 858, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2023.04.005

Page CE; Ainsworth TD; Leggat W; Egan S; Gupta AS; Raoult V; Gaston TF, 2023, 'Localising terrestrially derived pollution inputs to threatened near-shore coral reefs through stable isotope, water quality and oceanographic analysis', Marine Pollution Bulletin, 193, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115193

Sen Gupta A, 2023, 'Marine heatwaves: definition duel heats up', Nature, 617, pp. 465, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-01619-4

Dutta D; Sherwood SC; Jucker M; Gupta AS; Meissner KJ, 2023, 'Can Polar Stratospheric Clouds Explain Arctic Amplification?', Journal of Climate, 36, pp. 2313 - 2332, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0497.1

Smith KE; Burrows MT; Hobday AJ; King NG; Moore PJ; Sen Gupta A; Thomsen MS; Wernberg T; Smale DA, 2023, 'Biological Impacts of Marine Heatwaves', Annual Review of Marine Science, 15, pp. 119 - 145, http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-032122-121437

Sen Gupta A; Ryan S; Hernaman V, 2023, 'Editorial: Advances in marine heatwave interactions', Frontiers in Climate, 5, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2023.1177781

Flores-Moreno H; Dalrymple RL; Cornwell WK; Popovic G; Nakagawa S; Atkinson J; Cooke J; Laffan SW; Bonser SP; Schwanz LE; Crean AJ; Eldridge DJ; Garratt M; Brooks RC; Vergés A; Poore AGB; Cohen DR; Clark GF; Sen Gupta A; Reich PB; Cornelissen JHC; Craine JM; Hemmings FA; Kattge J; Niinemets Ü; Peñuelas J; Moles AT, 2023, 'Is Australia weird? A cross-continental comparison of biological, geological and climatological features', Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 11, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2023.1073842

Pontes GM; Taschetto AS; Sen Gupta A; Santoso A; Wainer I; Haywood AM; Chan WL; Abe-Ouchi A; Stepanek C; Lohmann G; Hunter SJ; Tindall JC; Chandler MA; Sohl LE; Peltier WR; Chandan D; Kamae Y; Nisancioglu KH; Zhang Z; Contoux C; Tan N; Zhang Q; Otto-Bliesner BL; Brady EC; Feng R; von der Heydt AS; Baatsen MLJ; Oldeman AM, 2022, 'Mid-Pliocene El Niño/Southern Oscillation suppressed by Pacific intertropical convergence zone shift', Nature Geoscience, 15, pp. 726 - 734, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00999-y

Stellema A; Sen Gupta A; Taschetto AS; Feng M, 2022, 'Pacific Equatorial Undercurrent: Mean state, sources, and future changes across models', Frontiers in Climate, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.933091

Goyal R; Jucker M; Gupta AS; England MH, 2022, 'A New Zonal Wave-3 Index for the Southern Hemisphere', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 5137 - 5149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0927.1

Holgate C; Evans JP; Taschetto AS; Gupta AS; Santoso A, 2022, 'The Impact of Interacting Climate Modes on East Australian Precipitation Moisture Sources', Journal of Climate, 35, pp. 3147 - 3159, http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0750.1

Eabry MD; Holmes RM; Gupta AS, 2022, 'The Impact of Indonesian Throughflow Constrictions on Eastern Pacific Upwelling and Water-Mass Transformation', Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans, 127, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018509

Pathmeswaran C; Sen Gupta A; Perkins-Kirkpatrick SE; Hart MA, 2022, 'Exploring Potential Links Between Co-occurring Coastal Terrestrial and Marine Heatwaves in Australia', Frontiers in Climate, 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.792730

Sherwood SC; Sen Gupta A; Schwartz SE, 2022, 'Probability of committed warming exceeding 1.5 °c and 2.0 °c Paris targets', Environmental Research Letters, 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6ff6

Sen Gupta A; Stellema A; Pontes GM; Taschetto AS; Vergés A; Rossi V, 2021, 'Future changes to the upper ocean Western Boundary Currents across two generations of climate models', Scientific Reports, 11, pp. 9538, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-88934-w

Goyal R; England MH; Jucker M; Sen Gupta A, 2021, 'Response of Southern Hemisphere Western Boundary Current Regions to Future Zonally Symmetric and Asymmetric Atmospheric Changes', Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017858

Sérazin G; Di Luca A; Sen Gupta A; Rogé M; Jourdain NC; Argüeso D; Bull CYS, 2021, 'East Australian Cyclones and Air-Sea Feedbacks', Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034391

Smith KE; Burrows MT; Hobday AJ; Gupta AS; Moore PJ; Thomsen M; Wernberg T; Smale DA, 2021, 'Socioeconomic impacts of marine heatwaves: Global issues and opportunities', Science, 374, http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abj3593

Bell JD; Senina I; Adams T; Aumont O; Calmettes B; Clark S; Dessert M; Gehlen M; Gorgues T; Hampton J; Hanich Q; Harden-Davies H; Hare SR; Holmes G; Lehodey P; Lengaigne M; Mansfield W; Menkes C; Nicol S; Ota Y; Pasisi C; Pilling G; Reid C; Ronneberg E; Gupta AS; Seto KL; Smith N; Taei S; Tsamenyi M; Williams P, 2021, 'Pathways to sustaining tuna-dependent Pacific Island economies during climate change', Nature Sustainability, 4, pp. 900 - 910, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41893-021-00745-z

Goyal R; Jucker M; Sen Gupta A; Hendon HH; England MH, 2021, 'Zonal wave 3 pattern in the Southern Hemisphere generated by tropical convection', Nature Geoscience, 14, pp. 732 - 738, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00811-3

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