By Dr David John Muscatello

Journal articles

Sumner KM; Carlson S; Elton B; Butler M; Amin J; Rolfes MA; Reed C; Iuliano AD; Muscatello DJ; Dalton C, 2025, 'COVID-19 symptomatic community illness, hospitalization, and death burden across all ages — New South Wales, Australia, May 2021–July 2022', BMC Public Health, 25, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-22021-x

Boldt K; Rose N; Ware S; Dinh MM; Paul KK; Ho Y; Muscatello DJ, 2025, 'Characteristics and predictors of severe outcomes of COVID-19 cases presenting to the emergency department of a major Australian referral hospital: A record linkage study', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 37, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.70040

Sundaresan L; Sullivan S; Muscatello D; Hennessy D; Rowe S, 2025, 'Monitoring mortality in the setting of COVID-19 pandemic control in Victoria, Australia: a time series analysis of population data', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response Journal, 16, pp. 29 - 39, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2025.16.1.1091

Nazareno AL; Wood JG; Muscatello DJ; Homaira N; Hogan AB; Newall AT, 2025, 'Estimating the cost-effectiveness of maternal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination in Australia: A dynamic and economic modelling analysis', Vaccine, 46, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126651

Burrell R; Saravanos GL; Kesson A; Leung KC; Outhred AC; Wood N; Muscatello D; Britton PN, 2025, 'Respiratory virus detections in children presenting to an Australian paediatric referral hospital pre-COVID-19 pandemic, January 2014 to December 2019', Plos One, 20, http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0313504

Nazareno AL; Newall AT; Muscatello DJ; Hogan AB; Wood JG, 2024, 'Modelling the epidemiological impact of maternal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination in Australia', Vaccine, 42, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.126418

Sordo AA; Do AA; Irwin MJ; Muscatello DJ, 2024, 'Development of a registration interval correction model for enhancing excess all-cause mortality surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic', International Journal of Epidemiology, 53, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyae145

Muscatello DJ; Rose N; Paul KK; Ware S; Dinh MM; Mohsin M; Craig AT; Dyda A; Forero R, 2024, 'Epidemiological comparison of emergency department presentations with seasonal influenza or COVID-19 and an outcome of intensive care admission or death: A population-based records linkage study in New South Wales, Australia', Journal of Infection, 89, pp. 106307, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2024.106307

Hossain FB; Muscatello D; Jayasinghe S; Liu B, 2024, 'Trends in Hospitalisations for Vaccine Preventable Respiratory Infections Following Emergency Department Presentations in New South Wales, Australia, 2012–2022', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.70015

Mahmud M; Muscatello DJ; Rahman MB; Osborne NJ, 2024, 'Association between socioeconomic deprivation and bone health status in the UK biobank cohort participants', Osteoporosis International, 35, pp. 1573 - 1584, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00198-024-07115-3

Binte Hossain F; Muscatello D; Jayasinghe S; Jonnagaddala J; Liu B, 2024, 'Uptake of pneumococcal vaccines in older Australian adults before and after universal public funding of PCV13', Vaccine, 42, pp. 3084 - 3090, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.04.012

Stein A; Pendrey C; Muscatello D; Van Buynder P; Fielding J; Menche J; Sullivan S, 2024, 'Estimates of Seasonal Influenza Burden That Could Be Averted by Improved Influenza Vaccines in the Australian Population Aged Under 65 Years, 2015–2019', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 18, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.13289

Newall AT; Nazareno AL; Muscatello DJ; Boettiger D; Viboud C; Simonsen L; Turner RM, 2024, 'The association between influenza vaccination uptake and influenza and pneumonia-associated deaths in the United States', Vaccine, 42, pp. 2044 - 2050, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.01.089

Gianacas C; Liu B; Kirk M; Di Tanna GL; Belcher J; Blogg S; Muscatello DJ, 2023, 'Bayesian structural time series, an alternative to interrupted time series in the right circumstances', Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 163, pp. 102 - 110, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.10.003

Craig AT; Leong RNF; Donoghoe MW; Muscatello D; Mojica VJC; Octavo CJM, 2023, 'Comparison of statistical methods for the early detection of disease outbreaks in small population settings', IJID Regions, 8, pp. 157 - 163, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijregi.2023.08.007

Casey ST; Noste EE; Cook AT; Muscatello D; Heslop DJ, 2023, 'Emergency medical teams in WHO's Western Pacific Region', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response Journal Wpsar, 14, pp. 1 - 17, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2023.14.6.1184

Waudby CM; Sherwood SC; Osborne NJ; Beggs PJ; Al-Kouba J; Ebert EE; Muscatello DJ, 2022, 'Combined synoptic and regional weather patterns affecting atmospheric Poaceae pollen concentrations in Sydney, Australia', Aerobiologia, 38, pp. 533 - 555, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10453-022-09764-5

He WQ; Gianacas C; Muscatello DJ; Newall AT; McIntyre P; Cheng AC; Liu B, 2022, 'Effectiveness of influenza vaccination in reducing influenza-like illness and related antibiotic prescriptions in adults from a primary care-based case-control study', Journal of Infection, 85, pp. 660 - 665, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2022.10.028

Nazareno AL; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; Wood JG; Moore HC; Newall AT, 2022, 'Modelled estimates of hospitalisations attributable to respiratory syncytial virus and influenza in Australia, 2009–2017', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 16, pp. 1082 - 1090, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.13003

Thompson R; Wood JG; Tempia S; Muscatello DJ, 2022, 'Global variation in early epidemic growth rates and reproduction number of seasonal influenza', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 122, pp. 382 - 388, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2022.06.022

Gianacas C; Muscatello D; Blogg S; Kirk M; McIntyre P; Cheng A; Liu B, 2022, 'Effectiveness of Influenza Vaccination in Reducing Subsequent Antibiotic Prescribing in Young Children Attending Australian General Practices - A Case-Control Study', Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society, 11, pp. 283 - 290, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/jpids/piac021

Saravanos GL; Hu N; Homaira N; Muscatello DJ; Jaffe A; Bartlett AW; Wood NJ; Rawlinson W; Kesson A; Lingam R; Britton PN, 2022, 'RSV Epidemiology in Australia Before and During COVID-19', Pediatrics, 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053537

Muscatello DJ; Nazareno AL; Turner RM; Newall AT, 2021, 'Influenza-associated mortality in Australia, 2010 through 2019: High modelled estimates in 2017', Vaccine, 39, pp. 7578 - 7583, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2021.11.019

Zhang Y; Muscatello D; Tian Y; Chen Y; Li S; Duan W; Ma C; Sun Y; Wu S; Ge L; Yang P; Jia L; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2021, 'Role of presymptomatic transmission of COVID-19: Evidence from Beijing, China', Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 75, pp. 84 - 87, http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2020-214635

Muscatello DJ; McIntyre PB, 2020, 'Comparing mortalities of the first wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and of the 1918-19 winter pandemic influenza wave in the USA', International Journal of Epidemiology, 49, pp. 2089 - 2091, http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaa186

Newall AT; Leong RNF; Nazareno A; Muscatello DJ; Wood JG; Kim WJ, 2020, 'Delay-adjusted age- and sex-specific case fatality rates for COVID-19 in South Korea: Evolution in the estimated risk of mortality throughout the epidemic', International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 101, pp. 306 - 311, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.09.1478

Kunwar R; Lamichhane P; Vajdic C; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Effect of overseas parental employment migration on healthcare seeking for common childhood illnesses and nutritional status among left-behind young children: A systematic review', Journal of Child Health Care, 24, pp. 351 - 364, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1367493518787326

Manurung MK; Reo SE; Pardosi JF; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Evaluation of the Indonesian Early Warning Alert and Response System (EWARS) in West Papua, Indonesia', WHO South East Asia Journal of Public Health, 9, pp. 111 - 117, http://dx.doi.org/10.4103/2224-3151.294304

Kunwar R; Vajdic CM; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Parental international migration is not associated with improved health care seeking for common childhood illnesses and nutritional status of young children left-behind in Nepal', Public Health, 186, pp. 137 - 143, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2020.06.049

Morgan DP; Muscatello D; Travaglia J; Hayen A, 2020, 'Retrospective observational cohort study of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest outcomes in Tasmania 2010–2014', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 32, pp. 631 - 637, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.13490

Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Cao Z; Chughtai AA; Costantino V; Zhang D; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2020, 'A model of influenza infection and vaccination in children aged under 5 years in Beijing, China', Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, 16, pp. 1685 - 1690, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2019.1705692

Trevisan G; Linhares LCM; Crim B; Dubey P; Schwartz KJ; Burrough ER; Wang C; Main RG; Sundberg P; Thurn M; Lages PTF; Corzo CA; Torrison J; Henningson J; Herrman E; Hanzlicek GA; Raghavan R; Marthaler D; Greseth J; Clement T; Christopher-Hennings J; Muscatello D; Linhares DCL, 2020, 'Prediction of seasonal patterns of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus RNA detection in the U.S. swine industry', Journal of Veterinary Diagnostic Investigation, 32, pp. 394 - 400, http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/1040638720912406

Moa A; Muscatello DJ; Turner RM; MacIntyre R, 2020, 'Estimated hospitalisations attributable to seasonal and pandemic influenza in Australia: 2001- 2013.', PLoS One, 15, pp. e0230705. - e0230705., http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0230705

Soh ACY; Sharma A; Muscatello DJ, 2020, 'Impact of seasonal influenza on polyclinic attendances for upper respiratory tract infections in Singapore', Western Pacific Surveillance and Response Journal, 11, pp. 27 - 36, http://dx.doi.org/10.5365/wpsar.2019.10.4.001

Morgan DP; Muscatello D; Hayen A; Travaglia J, 2019, 'Human factors influencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 31, pp. 600 - 604, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.13222

Hauser MI; Muscatello DJ; Soh ACY; Dwyer DE; Turner RM, 2019, 'An indirect comparison meta-analysis of AS03 and MF59 adjuvants in pandemic influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 vaccines', Vaccine, 37, pp. 4246 - 4255, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2019.06.039

Moa A; Muscatello D; Chughtai A; Chen X; Raina MacIntyre C, 2019, 'Flucast: A real-time tool to predict severity of an influenza season', Journal of Medical Internet Research, 21, http://dx.doi.org/10.2196/11780

Muscatello DJ; Leong RNF; Turner RM; Newall AT, 2019, 'Rapid mapping of the spatial and temporal intensity of influenza', European Journal of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, 38, pp. 1307 - 1312, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10096-019-03554-7

Muscatello DJ, 2019, 'Redefining influenza seasonality at a global scale and aligning it to the influenza vaccine manufacturing cycle: A descriptive time series analysis', Journal of Infection, 78, pp. 140 - 149, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2018.10.006

Zhang Y; Muscatello DJ; Wang Q; Yang P; Pan Y; Huo D; Liu Z; Zhao X; Tang Y; Li C; Chughtai AA; Macintyre CR, 2018, 'Hospitalizations for influenza-associatesevere acute respiratory infection, Beijing, China, 2014–2016', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 24, pp. 2098 - 2102, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2411.171410

Zhang Y; Cao Z; Costantino V; Muscatello DJ; Chughtai AA; Yang P; Wang Q; MacIntyre CR, 2018, 'Influenza illness averted by influenza vaccination among school year children in Beijing, 2013-2016', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 12, pp. 687 - 694, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12585

Karki S; Muscatello DJ; Banks E; MacIntyre CR; McIntyre P; Liu B, 2018, 'Association between body mass index and laboratory-confirmed influenza in middle aged and older adults: a prospective cohort study', International Journal of Obesity, 42, pp. 1480 - 1488, http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41366-018-0029-x

Sagna T; Ilboudo AK; Wandaogo C; Cissé A; Sana M; Tialla D; Sanou AM; Muscatello DJ; Tarnagda Z, 2018, 'Preliminary results of official influenza and acute respiratory infection surveillance in two towns of Burkina Faso, 2013-2015', BMC Infectious Diseases, 18, pp. 330, http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12879-018-3241-3

Bresee J; Fitzner J; Campbell H; Cohen C; Cozza V; Jara J; Krishnan A; Lee V; WHO Working Group on the Burden of Influenza Disease ; Muscatello D, 2018, 'Progress and Remaining Gaps in Estimating the Global Disease Burden of Influenza', Emerging infectious diseases, 24, pp. 1173 - 1177, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2407.171270

Putri WCWS; Muscatello DJ; Stockwell MS; Newall AT, 2018, 'Economic burden of seasonal influenza in the United States', Vaccine, 36, pp. 3960 - 3966, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2018.05.057

Atkinson JA; Knowles D; Wiggers J; Livingston M; Room R; Prodan A; Mcdonnell G; O’Donnell E; Jones S; Haber PS; Muscatello D; Ezard N; Phung N; Freebairn L; Indig D; Rychetnik L; Ananthapavan J; Wutzke S; Conigrave K; Rissel C; Coates P; Moore R; Gupta L; Renshaw F; Price K; Mitchell J; Whitlam G; Lewis N; Heffernan M; Lambert M; Redman S; Shiell A; Penza L; Wilson A, 2018, 'Harnessing advances in computer simulation to inform policy and planning to reduce alcohol-related harms', International Journal of Public Health, 63, pp. 537 - 546, http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00038-017-1041-y

Iuliano AD; Roguski KM; Chang HH; Muscatello DJ; Palekar R; Tempia S; Cohen C; Gran JM; Schanzer D; Cowling BJ; Wu P; Kyncl J; Ang LW; Park M; Redlberger-Fritz M; Yu H; Espenhain L; Krishnan A; Emukule G; van Asten L; Pereira da Silva S; Aungkulanon S; Buchholz U; Widdowson MA; Bresee JS; Azziz-Baumgartner E; Cheng PY; Dawood F; Foppa I; Olsen S; Haber M; Jeffers C; MacIntyre CR; Newall AT; Wood JG; Kundi M; Popow-Kraupp T; Ahmed M; Rahman M; Marinho F; Sotomayor Proschle CV; Vergara Mallegas N; Luzhao F; Sa L; Barbosa-Ramírez J; Sanchez DM; Gomez LA; Vargas XB; Acosta Herrera AB; Llanés MJ; Fischer TK; Krause TG; Mølbak K; Nielsen J; Trebbien R; Bruno A; Ojeda J; Ramos H; an der Heiden M; del Carmen Castillo Signor L; Serrano CE; Bhardwaj R; Chadha M; Narayan V; Kosen S; Bromberg M; Glatman-Freedman A; Kaufman Z; Arima Y; Oishi K; Chaves S; Nyawanda B; Al-Jarallah RA; Kuri-Morales PA; Matus CR; Corona MEJ; Burmaa A; Darmaa O; Obtel M; Cherkaoui I; van den Wijngaard CC; van der Hoek W; Baker M; Bandaranayake D; Bissielo A; Huang S; Lopez L; Newbern C; Flem E; Grøneng GM; Hauge S; de Cosío FG; de Moltó Y; Castillo LM; Cabello MA; von Horoch M; Medina Osis J; Machado A; Nunes B; Rodrigues AP, 2018, 'Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study', Lancet, 391, pp. 1285 - 1300, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(17)33293-2

Muscatello DJ; Bein KJ; Dinh MM, 2018, 'Influenza-associated delays in patient throughput and premature patient departure in emergency departments in New South Wales, Australia: A time series analysis', EMA Emergency Medicine Australasia, 30, pp. 77 - 80, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/1742-6723.12808

Tarnagda Z; Cissé A; Bicaba BW; Diagbouga S; Sagna T; Ilboudo AK; Tialla D; Lingani M; Sondo KA; Yougbaré I; Yaméogo I; Sow HE; Sakandé J; Sangaré L; Greco R; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Dengue fever in Burkina faso, 2016', Emerging Infectious Diseases, 24, pp. 170 - 172, http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2401.170973

Gul D; Cohen C; Tempia S; Newall AT; Muscatello DJ, 2018, 'Influenza-associated mortality in South Africa, 2009-2013: The importance of choices related to influenza infection proxies', Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 12, pp. 54 - 64, http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/irv.12498

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